Page 36 - Policy Economic Report_Feb'25
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POLICY AND ECONOMIC REPORT
               OIL & GAS MARKET

               Table 3: Non-DoC liquids production in 2025, mb/d

               Non-OPEC liquids production  2024                  1Q25   2Q25   3Q25   4Q25   2025

               Americas                     27.68                 27.94  28.10  28.40  28.64  28.27
                                                                  21.84  22.23  22.34  22.41  22.21
               of which US                  21.76                 3.78   3.65   3.63   3.74   3.70
                                                                  0.43   0.42   0.43   0.43   0.43
               Europe                       3.60                  32.14  32.17  32.46  32.81  32.40
                                                                  4.63   4.61   4.53   5.54   4.58
               Asia Pacific                 0.43                  0.79   0.79   0.81   0.80   0.80
                                                                  1.61   1.58   1.57   1.57   1.58
               Total OECD                   31.71                 7.37   7.40   7.48   7.61   7.47
                                                                  2.01   2.03   2.03   2.03   2.02
               China                        4.57                  2.33   2.32   2.32   2.31   2.32
                                                                  0.37   0.37   0.37   0.37   0.37
               India                        0.79                  0.10   0.10   0.10   0.10   0.10
                                                                  19.19  19.21  19.21  19.32  19.23
               Other Asia                   1.61                  51.33  51.38  51.67  52.13  51.63
                                                                  2.58   2.58   2.58   2.58   2.58
               Latin America                7.23                  53.91  53.96  54.25  54.71  54.21

               Middle East                  2.00

               Africa                       2.30

               Other Eurasia                0.37

               Other Europe                 0.10

               Total Non-OECD               18.97

               Total Non-DoC production     50.68

               Processing gains             2.52

               Total Non-DoC liquids production 53.20

               Source- OPEC monthly report, February 2025

               • From the above table, it can be inferred, that the total non-DoC liquids production is expected to
                   reach 54.21 mb/d by 2025.

               • The non-DoC liquids supply (i.e. liquids supply from countries not participating in the Declaration of
                   Cooperation) in 2025 is forecast to grow by 1.0 mb/d, y-o-y.

               Oil demand situation

               • The global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 remains unchanged at 1.4 mb/d. The OECD is forecast
                   to grow by about 0.1 mb/d, while the non-OECD is forecast to grow by about 1.3 mb/d. This robust oil
                   demand growth is expected to continue in 2026.

               • The global oil demand in 2026 is forecast to grow by 1.4 mb/d, y-o-y. The OECD is projected to grow
                   by about 0.1 mb/d, y-o-y, while demand in the non-OECD is forecast to grow by about 1.3 mb/d.

February 2025                                                                                 Page | 35
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