Page 34 - FIPI - Policy & Economic Report May 2026
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POLICY AND ECONOMIC REPORT
               OIL & GAS MARKET

          Sub-Indices      Response as Response as Response as    Diffusion               S&P - Weighted
          New orders                                                Index              Weightage score
                           “Increase” “No change” “Decline”         71.43
                                                                    71.43                  30% 21.43
                           200 100                   50             71.43
                                                                    71.43
          Output           200 100                   50                                25% 17.86
                                                                    71.43
          Employment       200          100          50                                20% 14.29

          Suppliers’       200          100          50                                15%
                           200          100          50                                10%
          Delivery Time                                                                100%              10.71
                                                                                                         7.14
          Stocks       of                                                                                71.43

          Purchase

          Manufacturing

          PMI

          This indicates a strong expansion (PMI> 50) in the manufacturing sector month-over-month, driven by the
          fact that the majority of the 350 surveyed executives (200 of them) are experiencing an improvement in
          business conditions.

          Scenario B- Considering each of the five sub-indices have its own breakdown of responses from the 350
          managers surveyed. Since the response for “increase”, “decrease” and “no change” is different across all
          5 sub-indices, the diffusion index computed would be different in all the cases as shown below: -

          Sub-Indices      Response as  Response as  Response as  Diffusion               S&P -   Weighted
          New orders       “Increase”   “No change”  “Decline”      Index              Weightage    score
          Output                                                   57.86 *
          Employment            150          105           95                              30%    17.36
                                                                    42.00
                                 70          154          126                              25%    10.50
                                                                    44.29                         8.86
                                 50          210           90                              20%

          Suppliers’       30           245          75 43.57                          15%        6.54
          Delivery Time                                                                10%        5.29
                                                                                       100%       48.53
          Stocks       of  150          70           130 52.86

          Purchase

          Manufacturing

          PMI

          *Calculation for Diffusion index= ((150/350*1) +(105/350*0.5)) *100 = 57.86

          Here, as the final Manufacturing PMI is well below the critical threshold of 50, it shows contraction in the
          manufacturing sector.

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