Page 29 - Policy Economic Report - November 2024
P. 29

POLICY AND ECONOMIC REPORT
               OIL & GAS MARKET

               Table 3: Non-DoC liquids production in 2024, mb/d

               Non-OPEC liquids production       2023 1Q24        2Q24                    3Q24   4Q24   2024

               Americas                          26.67 26.91 27.58                        27.75  27.67  27.48
                                                                                          21.81  21.63  21.57
               of which US                       20.97 21.02 21.81                                3.68   3.61
                                                                                           3.52   0.46   0.45
               Europe                            3.65 3.66 3.59                            0.47  31.82  31.54
                                                                                          31.73   4.51   4.57
               Asia Pacific                      0.45 0.46 0.43                            4.52   0.80   0.79
                                                                                           0.78   1.59
               Total OECD                        30.77 31.03 31.60                         1.60   7.38    161
                                                                                           7.18   2.02   7.26
               China                             4.52 4.62 4.63                            2.01   2.31   2.01
                                                                                           2.38   0.37   2.30
               India                             0.79 0.80 0.79                            0.37   0.10   0.37
                                                                                           0.10  19.09   0.10
               Other Asia                        1.61 162 1.62                            18.94  50.90  19.00
                                                                                          50.66   2.52  50.55
               Latin America                     6.96 7.28 7.19                            2.52  53.42   2.52
                                                                                          53.18         53.07
               Middle East                       2.02 2.00 2.00

               Africa                            2.22 2.24 2.26

               Other Eurasia                     0.37 0.37 0.37

               Other Europe                      0.10 0.10 0.10

               Total Non-OECD                    18.60 19.03 18.96

               Total Non-DoC production          49.37 50.06 50.56

               Processing gains                  2.47 2.52 2.52

               Total Non-DoC liquids production  51.84 52.58 53.08

               Note. *2024 = Forecast. Totals may not add up due to independent rounding
               Source- OPEC monthly report, November 2024

               • From the above table, it can be inferred, that the total non-DoC liquids production is expected to
                   reach 53.07 mb/d by 2024.

               • The non-DoC liquids supply (i.e. liquids supply from countries not participating in the Declaration of
                   Cooperation) is expected to grow by 1.2 mb/d in 2024 to average 53.1 mb/d.

               Oil demand situation

               • The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 is revised down slightly by 107 tb/d from the previous
                   month’s assessment to 1.8 mb/d, y-o-y. This minor adjustment is mainly due to updated data for
                   1Q24, 2Q24 and 3Q24. OECD oil demand is expected to grow by around 0.2 mb/d, while non-OECD
                   demand is forecast to expand by close to 1.7 mb/d.

               • In 2025, global oil demand growth is also revised down slightly by 103 tb/d from the previous month’s
                   assessment to 1.5 mb/d, y-o-y. The OECD demand is expected to grow by 0.1 mb/d, y-o-y, while
                   demand in the non-OECD is forecast to expand by 1.4 mb/d.

November 2024                                                                                    Page | 28
   24   25   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34