Page 12 - Policy Economic Report - April 2026
P. 12

POLICY AND ECONOMIC REPORT
                OIL & GAS MARKET

            At the same time, supply constraints have emerged in several critical commodities and services:

                • Fertilizers (Urea, Ammonia): Supply disruptions have tightened fertilizer markets, leading to
                     sharp price increases and raising input costs for agriculture.

                • Agricultural Inputs (Indirect Impact): Higher fertilizer costs are likely to increase food production
                     costs, exerting upward pressure on global food prices.

                • Helium: Supply disruptions have affected the availability of helium, a critical input for
                     semiconductor manufacturing and medical applications.

                • Industrial Inputs (Broader Category): Disruptions in key industrial inputs are impacting
                     manufacturing processes, particularly in high-technology and healthcare sectors.

                • Aviation Routes: Disruptions in air travel routes have affected global connectivity, leading to
                     delays and increased logistics costs.

                • Tourism Flows: Reduced mobility and travel disruptions have impacted tourism-dependent
                     economies and services trade.

                • Remittances: Disruptions in labour mobility and regional economic activity are affecting
                     remittance flows, particularly in developing economies.

                • Global Supply Chains (Systemic Impact): These disruptions collectively indicate the re-emergence
                     of supply chain bottlenecks, leading to higher production costs, disrupted trade flows, and
                     broader impacts on economic activity across regions.

            Figure 4: Reorientation of Global Trade

            Source- IMF (Note: Based on latest available data; series may have differing time coverage)

April 2026                                                                                               Page | 11
   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17