Page 51 - Policy Economic Report - September 2026
P. 51

POLICY AND ECONOMIC
                    OIL & GAS MARKET

                         1st October, 2025 – 31st March, 2026 was notified as US$9.72/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value
                         (GCV) basis as per notification dated 30th September 2025. As per notification dated 31st March
                         2026, gas prices were further revised for the period 1st April 2026 – 30th September 2026 and was
                         notified as US$ 8.90/MMBTU on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) basis. Prices were further revised for
                         the period 1st October, 2026 – 31st March, 2027 was notified as US$9.89/MMBTU on Gross
                         Calorific Value (GCV) basis as per notification dated 30th September 2026.

                Figure 23: Global natural gas price trends ($/mmbtu)

                80

                70

                60

                50

                40

                30

                20

                10

                 0

                Aug-22
                     Oct-22
                           Dec-22
                                Feb-23
                                      Apr-23
                                           Jun-23
                                                 Aug-23
                                                       Oct-23
                                                            Dec-23
                                                                  Feb-24
                                                                       Apr-24
                                                                             Jun-24
                                                                                   Aug-24
                                                                                        Oct-24
                                                                                              Dec-24
                                                                                                    Feb-25
                                                                                                         Apr-25
                                                                                                               Jun-25
                                                                                                                    Aug-25
                                                                                                                          Oct-25
                                                                                                                               Dec-25
                                                                                                                                     Feb-26
                                                                                                                                           Apr-26
                                                                                                                                                Jun-26
                                                                                                                                                      Aug-26

                          Domestic gas price  Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price  Natural gas, Europe  Spot LNG price, Japan

                Source: EIA, World Bank

                Table 8: Gas price, August 2026

                Natural Gas                           Price                     MoM                      YoY
                                                                                                     (%) change
                                                      ($/MMBTU)                 (%) change
                                                                                                        28.76
                India, Domestic gas price (Sep’26)    9.00                      14.50
                                                                                                      -11.35%
                India, Gas price ceiling – difficult  8.90                      -8.44%
                areas (Apr’26-Sep’26)                                                                  107.3%
                                                                                                        -4.5%
                GIXI (Gas index of India) price*      22.0 14.43%                                       89.3%
                                                                                                        18.2%
                Henry Hub                             2.78 -3.8%

                Natural Gas, Europe                   21.11                     16.9%

                Liquefied Natural Gas, Japan          13.94                     0.6%

                Source: EIA, PPAC, World Bank, IGX
                *Prices are weighted average prices (data excluding ceiling price gas, LNG & LDC)

September 2026                                                                                       Page | 50
   46   47   48   49   50   51   52   53   54   55   56